Live Bitcoin Price:

ChangeTip - Your Change In Action

Your change in action. Tip bitcoin and USD to others for good content simply by mentioning an amount and referencing changetip. Check us out at [ChangeTip.com](https://www.changetip.com)!
[link]

Myriad - A coin for everyone.

Myriad (XMY) is a Multi-PoW consensus protocol secured by 5 mining algorithms. Each one suits different hardware.
[link]

Bitcoin SV is third most discussed cryptocurrency on social trading platform Stocktwits (2020)

submitted by SaneFive to bitcoinsv [link] [comments]

Bitcoin mentioned around Reddit: Stocktwits.com with 10M visits per month is BAT approved site! /r/BATProject

Bitcoin mentioned around Reddit: Stocktwits.com with 10M visits per month is BAT approved site! /BATProject submitted by SimilarAdvantage to BitcoinAll [link] [comments]

"$10,000 invested in Bitcoin 6 years ago is worth over $38 million today. That's your benchmark. Get to work." -- Charlie Bilello, CMT on StockTwits

submitted by chinawat to btc [link] [comments]

StockTwits CEO Talks About the Bitcoin Crypto Craze!

StockTwits CEO Talks About the Bitcoin Crypto Craze! submitted by PPotts1 to u/PPotts1 [link] [comments]

StockTwits:This is JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs vs. Bitcoin since March

StockTwits:This is JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs vs. Bitcoin since March submitted by Pizpie to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

07-21 14:52 - 'StockTwits adds streams and symbology for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies' (news.hodlhodl.com) by /u/mightymous95 removed from /r/Bitcoin within 17-27min

StockTwits adds streams and symbology for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies
Go1dfish undelete link
unreddit undelete link
Author: mightymous95
submitted by removalbot to removalbot [link] [comments]

StockTwits adds streams and symbology for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies

StockTwits adds streams and symbology for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies submitted by BitcoinAllBot to BitcoinAll [link] [comments]

StockTwits:This is JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs vs. Bitcoin since March

StockTwits:This is JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs vs. Bitcoin since March submitted by BitcoinAllBot to BitcoinAll [link] [comments]

Stocktwits just sent me their newsletter titled "Getting Rich Off Bitcoin" with this link at the top.

Stocktwits just sent me their newsletter titled submitted by BitcoinAllBot to BitcoinAll [link] [comments]

StockTwits added support for Bitcoin

StockTwits added support for Bitcoin submitted by waspoza to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

#Bitcoin is rallying up 12% $BTCUSD back to pre #MikeHearn news prices. 423/$BCOIN @stocktwits Bullish

#Bitcoin is rallying up 12% $BTCUSD back to pre #MikeHearn news prices. 423/$BCOIN @stocktwits Bullish submitted by BitcoinAllBot to BitcoinAll [link] [comments]

StockTwits added support for Bitcoin - Bitcoin Forum - The Unofficial Bitcoin Forum

submitted by bitcoinforum to Bitcoinforum [link] [comments]

Some perceived catalysts for MARA

Firstly, let me say, I hate how energy-intensive Bitcoin is and would never support the market for mining it in the long-term. However, below are what I believe to be a series of perceived catalysts for MARA as a swing play.
Yes, some are more compelling than others. And yes, some should never even be graced with the name 'catalyst', but in the era of Lambos and rocketships, they will very much (unfortunately) be taken as such by those more naive to the space.
What does MARA do?
MARA mines Bitcoin.
What is Bitcoin?
In essence, a digital currency. A form of value not governed by any government or centralized institution. Hopefully this isn't news to you, but if not, here is a good place to start.
What is mining?
In essence, the process that is required to generate new bitcoins (better explanation here). Much like mining for gold or drilling for oil, you need to follow a process in order to generate more Bitcoin. Much like other commodities too, the price that they are selling for has a big impact on how profitable miners are.
Why MARA, why now?
Bitcoin has been flirting with the $10,000 mark for some time now. $10k for Bitcoin is a bit like $1 for a penny stock. It's tough to break, but once you do, a lot of heads start to turn. If Bitcoin moves, MARA is more than probably going to follow suit.
Catalysts
submitted by pfcrock to pennystocks [link] [comments]

Square (SQ) Put Holders Obituary

Square (SQ) Put Holders Obituary
Context : Played SQ 75p 05/15 with 18.5k and sold it at a loss of 7k. Made three day trades on FB yesterday and recouped my losses. My retarded eyes went towards SQ again and i said fuck it lets buy SQ 75P 06/19.
Key Takeaways:
  • Transactions were Square's biggest revenue generator in 2019, but Bitcoin sales were its fastest-growing area.
  • Square revised its net revenue and gross profit expectations because so much of Square's revenue is generated from merchant transactions, and because many businesses across the country have effectively been shut down during the crisis, Square anticipates substantial negative impact to its revenue for the near future.
SQ Revenue Breakdown for FY 2019 :
Transaction-Based Revenue 65%
Subscription and Service-Based Revenue 22%
Hardware Revenue 2%
Bitcoin Revenue 11%
Jack Shit Part Time CEO and Square Capital offered exclusive access to business loans for small business which are not able to pay it back.
All the DD, TA, Analyst rating pointed towards fair value at mid 60's. I was hard af after looking at 'Retail sales plunge a record 16.4% in April, far worse than predicted' today morning as the restaurants and other service business were lagged in revenues which use Square. Meanwhile square is on its way to 52 week high fucking me over with its big dick energy.
Can some one explain me why is this going higher and higher everyday ? I understand PYPL to gain momentum as more people are buying online and shit, but SQ payment API isn't even integrated in any of the sites normal people shop at. All they have working right now is a Venmo like looking app where you can send money for free (no transaction fee unless for higher limits), Buy Bitcoin for a high fee (while robinhood has no fee but with out withdrawals) and buy fractional shares. Nothing makes sense anymore. Stocktwits is cancer. Peace out.
TLDR: SPY 420p 06/19
https://preview.redd.it/9agvdde26zy41.jpg?width=686&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d33148491cb3f3a7adea0f730cb5932bb83760f3
submitted by tomatosauce1993 to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

Bitcoin trading offered to me

I was on stocktwits a while ago and saw some guy saying he offered "bitcoin mining services". Though oh well, im not going to give him a lot. Made a coinbase account, transfered to a blockchain account and gave him access. I fully expected it to just be lost, but every day the account grows. I've been sent a very legitimate contract I had a lawyer-in-training friend of mine look over.
Has anyone had a similar experience?
submitted by Kwelude to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Financial Modeling for Cryptocurrencies: The spreadsheet that got me my first 1,000% gain

TL;DR: I created a spreadsheet that automates pulling trending cryptocurrencies, recent tweets, and bullish/bearish sentiment into Google Sheets. You can find it here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1QtxaDWCoXkIqjPVVkU8DNsx8GBaBd180COwn1CIasa8/copy
I know some crypto users prefer to work in spreadsheets (including myself) so I created a spreadsheet that looks at trending symbols and estimates bullish/bearish sentiment. I never had the time to develop software engineering skills, but the recent launch of a few add-ins has allowed regular joes like myself to harness the power of APIs.

The Beauty of Sentiment Trading

According to Google Trends, the word “sentiment analysis” has been gaining steady traction over the past 5 years.
Sentiment refers to the attitude expressed by an individual regarding a certain topic. This is especially relevant in trading, where so much of the change in price is dictated by emotions:
When it is applied to trading, sentiment can be used (with great potential windfall) as a directional signal to figure out whether you should enter a crypto position within your portfolio.
A way you can utilize sentiment when trading crypto, is to measure the positivity or negativity of a tweet. If recent tweets have been overwhelmingly bullish (aka, the person expects the crypto rise) and movement is beginning to happen in the currency, chances are good that the trend will continue.
Luckily for you, StockTwits already does this with around 225 different cryptocurrencies. And if you can combine the sentiment with trending cryptocurrencies, you can catch the wave right as it forms.

Services Used:

  1. Google Sheets
  2. Spreadstreet Google Sheets Add-in
  3. StockTwits
  4. CoinMarketCap API
Full disclosure: The google sheets add-in is a 14-day free trial, and $15 per month after. However, no one should be refused access on the basis of money (especially true for students and less fortunate). Send me a message, and I will make sure you are not left in the dark.

A note on security

Users have expressed hesitation about running a google sheets add-in on their main computer, so I will attempt to ease those concerns:

What it pulls:

AN OVERVIEW OF THE SECTIONS

The Dashboard
Changing the timeframe
Changing the cryptocurrency
Instructions Tab
Summary Tab

How to use the spreadsheet to spot trending cryptocurrencies

You will spend most of your time in the “Analysis” tab, where the trending cryptocurrencies reside.
I am almost always looking at the “By Hour” timeframe, as the “By Day” and “By Week” is usually a missed opportunity…however, those time frames can still be very useful (albeit, for different reasons).
You want to ride the wave on a cryptocurrency under one or both of the following conditions:
  1. The tweets are very recent, preferably within the last hour
  2. Overwhelmingly Bullish sentiment
A Great Example
A Bad Example

Getting the spreadsheet to work for you

1. Install the Spreadstreet add-in for Google Sheets
2. Get sheet ready for use with the add-in
3. After logging into the add-in, refresh the sheet

Troubleshooting

  1. Important Open the template, click the menu Add-ons / Spreadstreet / Help / View in store, and then click Manage and in the dropdown menu click “Use in this document.”
  2. A reload of the entire worksheet fixes quite a few problems.
  3. Deleting and re-pasting the formula in A1 of the “Data” tab fixes things as well.
  4. If all else fails, drop me a message
  5. The “TIMEFRAME” cell in the Analysis tab (B3) refreshes the pull. Change the results for new data.
Some trending coins are not pulling correctly…what’s going on?
StockTwits has a list of ~225 coins it currently supports. See the “TweetInfo” tab for the full list.
I have tried logging in, activating the template with “Use in this document” and refreshed the sheet…still nothing.
Head to the “Data” tab. Delete the formula in cell A1, and repaste the following: =SS(“tickers-coinmarketcap”, headers, “0”, Currency)
Hoping this is something that is useful to everyone, and I am more than happy to help peeps setup the sheet so they can use it. Just send me a message on here.
Original Medium article can be found here: https://medium.com/@spreadstreet/financial-modeling-for-cryptocurrencies-the-spreadsheet-that-got-me-my-first-1-000-gain-f4d0d1a6e5ed

RESOURCES

Download the spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1QtxaDWCoXkIqjPVVkU8DNsx8GBaBd180COwn1CIasa8/copy
Download the add-in: https://spreadstreet.io/tools/google-sheets-add-in
Help: https://spreadstreet.io/docs
First time install and login: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLjtPR4T2bg
Bitfinex Candles endpoint help: https://spreadstreet.io/knowledge-base/bitfinex-api-candles-endpoint/

RELATED POSTS

Top 12 Cryptocurrencies Ranked by Risk-Adjusted Return
10 Statistical Price Predictions for 10 Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin Madness: How to Simulate Bitcoin Prices in Google Sheets

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

John Young is the founder of Spreadstreet.io, former Financial Analyst for a big-ass company, and runner-up in the 6th grade spelling bee. He would have invested in Google if he knew about it...and had any money.
He is the author of the Spreadstreet blog, which has over 3 readers (not a typo). He hopes to hit 10, but honestly writing is a lot of work.
submitted by 1kexperimentdotcom to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]

Financial Modeling for Cryptocurrencies: The spreadsheet that got me my first 1,000% gain

TL;DR: I created a spreadsheet that automates pulling trending cryptocurrencies, recent tweets, and bullish/bearish sentiment into Google Sheets. You can find it here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1QtxaDWCoXkIqjPVVkU8DNsx8GBaBd180COwn1CIasa8/copy
I know some crypto users prefer to work in spreadsheets (including myself) so I created a spreadsheet that looks at trending symbols and estimates bullish/bearish sentiment. I never had the time to develop software engineering skills, but the recent launch of a few add-ins has allowed regular joes like myself to harness the power of APIs.

The Beauty of Sentiment Trading

According to Google Trends, the word “sentiment analysis” has been gaining steady traction over the past 5 years.
Sentiment refers to the attitude expressed by an individual regarding a certain topic. This is especially relevant in trading, where so much of the change in price is dictated by emotions:
When it is applied to trading, sentiment can be used (with great potential windfall) as a directional signal to figure out whether you should enter a crypto position within your portfolio.
A way you can utilize sentiment when trading crypto, is to measure the positivity or negativity of a tweet. If recent tweets have been overwhelmingly bullish (aka, the person expects the crypto rise) and movement is beginning to happen in the currency, chances are good that the trend will continue.
Luckily for you, StockTwits already does this with around 225 different cryptocurrencies. And if you can combine the sentiment with trending cryptocurrencies, you can catch the wave right as it forms.

Services Used:

  1. Google Sheets
  2. Spreadstreet Google Sheets Add-in
  3. StockTwits
  4. CoinMarketCap API
Full disclosure: The google sheets add-in is a 14-day free trial, and $15 per month after. However, no one should be refused access on the basis of money (especially true for students and less fortunate). Send me a message, and I will make sure you are not left in the dark.

A note on security

Users have expressed hesitation about running a google sheets add-in on their main computer, so I will attempt to ease those concerns:

What it pulls:

AN OVERVIEW OF THE SECTIONS

The Dashboard
Changing the timeframe
Changing the cryptocurrency
Instructions Tab
Summary Tab

How to use the spreadsheet to spot trending cryptocurrencies

You will spend most of your time in the “Analysis” tab, where the trending cryptocurrencies reside.
I am almost always looking at the “By Hour” timeframe, as the “By Day” and “By Week” is usually a missed opportunity…however, those time frames can still be very useful (albeit, for different reasons).
You want to ride the wave on a cryptocurrency under one or both of the following conditions:
  1. The tweets are very recent, preferably within the last hour
  2. Overwhelmingly Bullish sentiment
A Great Example
A Bad Example

Getting the spreadsheet to work for you

1. Install the Spreadstreet add-in for Google Sheets
2. Get sheet ready for use with the add-in
3. After logging into the add-in, refresh the sheet

Troubleshooting

  1. Important Open the template, click the menu Add-ons / Spreadstreet / Help / View in store, and then click Manage and in the dropdown menu click “Use in this document.”
  2. A reload of the entire worksheet fixes quite a few problems.
  3. Deleting and re-pasting the formula in A1 of the “Data” tab fixes things as well.
  4. If all else fails, drop a line to [email protected]. He will get you running in no time.
  5. The “TIMEFRAME” cell in the Analysis tab (B3) refreshes the pull. Change the results for new data.
Some trending coins are not pulling correctly…what’s going on?
StockTwits has a list of ~225 coins it currently supports. See the “TweetInfo” tab for the full list.
I have tried logging in, activating the template with “Use in this document” and refreshed the sheet…still nothing.
Head to the “Data” tab. Delete the formula in cell A1, and repaste the following: =SS(“tickers-coinmarketcap”, headers, “0”, Currency)
Hoping this is something that is useful to everyone, and I am more than happy to help peeps setup the sheet so they can use it. Just send me a message on here.
Original Medium article can be found here: https://medium.com/@spreadstreet/financial-modeling-for-cryptocurrencies-the-spreadsheet-that-got-me-my-first-1-000-gain-f4d0d1a6e5ed

RESOURCES

Download the spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1QtxaDWCoXkIqjPVVkU8DNsx8GBaBd180COwn1CIasa8/copy
Download the add-in: https://spreadstreet.io/tools/google-sheets-add-in
Help: https://spreadstreet.io/docs
First time install and login: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLjtPR4T2bg
Bitfinex Candles endpoint help: https://spreadstreet.io/knowledge-base/bitfinex-api-candles-endpoint/

RELATED POSTS

Top 12 Cryptocurrencies Ranked by Risk-Adjusted Return
10 Statistical Price Predictions for 10 Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin Madness: How to Simulate Bitcoin Prices in Google Sheets

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

John Young is the founder of Spreadstreet.io, former Financial Analyst for a big-ass company, and runner-up in the 6th grade spelling bee. He would have invested in Google if he knew about it...and had any money.
He is the author of the Spreadstreet blog, which has over 3 readers (not a typo). He hopes to hit 10, but honestly writing is a lot of work.
submitted by 1kexperimentdotcom to LitecoinMarkets [link] [comments]

10 Statistical Price Predictions for 10 Cryptocurrencies — January 2018

TL;DR: I simulated a 1-year movement of 10 top cryptocurrencies using an advanced statistical method called geometric Brownian motion, which you can find below. I also created a spreadsheet to simulate prices of ~24 different cryptocurrencies, which you can download here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eUIgBowJs2NyKw7kYbx5z_VeCOxsMQdNELfbngs4XnY/copy. The sheet utilizes a paid add-in, which I provide free of cost to those who are less fortunate.

THE MYSTERY OF PRICE MOVEMENT

So, you’re sitting at your computer with money to invest.
You have made some good money already in the market, but you want more.
Cryptocurrencies have reached a record $600 billion in market value after the recovery, with the inevitable $700 billion mark right around the corner.
The price movement of top currencies remains a mystery. But it doesn’t have to be.

THE PAIN OF UNCERTAINTY

Cryptocurrencies are volatile, irrational beasts.
Simple methods of forecasting grossly oveunderestimate the potential of a volatile currency.
For example, moving averages are used frequently to estimate future prices. Moving averages, however, suffer from many pitfalls that make them poor estimators of volatile markets.
Every great and successful investor has a plan. You will add one more tool to your arsenal today.

A BETTER METHOD FOR ESTIMATING CRYPTO PRICES

In my prior article about estimating the movement of Bitcoin Prices, I spoke of a method that is used frequently in the stock world to estimate prices.
This method is a Monte Carlo simulation using the geometric Brownian motion model.
I won’t cover off on the full methodology here, but essentially I am going to:
  1. Get historical daily prices for 10 top cryptocurrencies
  2. Calculate daily returns
  3. Simulate a year
  4. Simulate a year many times
By the end of the article, you will have the following:
A note on forecasting, simulations, and recommendations: Monte Carlo simulations are to be used as guidelines and tools, not as gospel. I am not offering financial or investing advice.

BITCOIN

What is Bitcoin?

You know what Bitcoin is, stop it.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of Bitcoin Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year Bitcoin Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that Bitcoin prices will fall between $9,095, and $371,588 with a median of $60,837.

BITCOIN CASH

What is Bitcoin Cash?

From the Bitcoin Cash project website:
“Bitcoin Cash is peer-to-peer electronic cash for the Internet. It is fully decentralized, with no central bank and requires no trusted third parties to operate.”
Really, it was an additional currency that was created after a fork from Bitcoin core.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of Bitcoin Cash Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year Bitcoin Cash Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that Bitcoin Cash prices will fall between $197, and $180,288 with a median of $4,839.

ETHEREUM

What is Ethereum?

Ethereum is a decentralized platform that runs smart contracts: applications that run exactly as programmed without any possibility of downtime, censorship, fraud or third party interference.
Ethereum has been busy recently. Multiple steps have been pushed in motion for the upcoming large change — reaching a new consensus method.
From Jordan Daniel at ethnews.com:
Ethereum’s Byzantium hard fork was only one half of a two-part process designed to transition the decentralized application platform to a new method for reaching consensus — proof-of-stake. The next hard fork, called Constantinople, was recently discussed during an Ethereum core developer meeting and could include Vitalik Buterin’s Casper update.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of Ethereum Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year Ethereum Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that Ethereum prices will fall between $193, and $8,027 with a median of $1,267.

EOS

What is EOS?

EOS is a blockchain-based, decentralized operating system, designed to support commercial-scale decentralized applications by providing all of the necessary core functionality, enabling businesses to build blockchain applications in a way similar to web-based applications.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of EOS Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year EOS Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that EOS prices will fall between $0.98, and $1,386 with a median of $33.

LITECOIN

What is Litecoin?

Litecoin’s claim to fame is faster transaction processing times. It uses a scrypt-based mining proof-of-work algorithm to target the regular computers and GPUs most people already have.
The ability to target regular computers and GPU’s happens to be a huge differentiator from the crowded mining population of Bitcoin.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of Litecoin Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year Litecoin Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that Litecoin prices will fall between $42, and $12,241 with a median of $745.

OMISEGO

What is OmiseGO?

OmiseGO is building a couple of things:
  1. Decentralized exchange
  2. Liquidity provider mechanism
  3. Clearinghouse messaging network
  4. Asset-backed blockchain gateway
OmiseGO is not owned by any single one party. Instead, it is an open distributed network of validators which enforce behavior of all participants.
According to Blocknight:
Also, OmiseGo counts Vitalik Buterin (Ethereum), and Joseph Poon (Lightning Network Co Author) among their advisers. Joseph Poon is actually billed as author of the OmiseGo whitepaper.
Those are some pretty big names.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of OmiseGO Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year OmiseGO Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that OmiseGO prices will fall between $0.62, and $185.35 with a median of $8.56.

NEO

What is NEO?

NEO (formerly known as AntShares) is a smart asset platform and the first open source public blockchain project in China. Smart assets are the combination of smart blockchain contracts and digital assets.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of NEO Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year NEO Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that NEO prices will fall between $3, and $3,076 with a median of $115.

RIPPLE

What is Ripple?

Ripple is a system created for banks to enable immediate payments and lower costs.
The vision of the Ripple creators is to allow a bank transfer in a few seconds (instead of the horribly annoying 2–3 business days).
Of note, is that Ripple is a U.S. based company. From the xrphodor blog:
Ripple is a US-based company.
Why is this an important point to consider? A US-based company like Ripple is subject to some very stringent laws regarding securities trading and money transmission. These include requirements that define how Ripple might interact with crypto markets and both institutional and retail crypto traders.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of Ripple Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year Ripple Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that Ripple prices will fall between $0.05, and $163 with a median of $2.71.

MONERO

What is Monero?

Monero attempts to solve privacy and fungibility issues that persist in Bitcoin.
Part of the algorithm for Monero automatically mixes transactions with previous transactions and does this by implementing ring signatures.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of Monero Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year Monero Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that Monero prices will fall between $68, and $8,142 with a median of $760.

Zcash

What is Zcash?

From the Blockchainhub infographic:
Zcash is a permissionless cryptocurrency that can fully protect the privacy of transactions using zero-knowledge cryptography.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of ZCash Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year ZCash Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that Zcash prices will fall between $54, and $6,259 with a median of $549.

YOUR VERY OWN FORECASTING TOOL

Since i’m so nice, I went ahead and created a forecasting tool for you to use:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eUIgBowJs2NyKw7kYbx5z_VeCOxsMQdNELfbngs4XnY/copy

SERVICES USED:

  1. Google Sheets
  2. Spreadstreet Google Sheets Add-in
  3. StockTwits
  4. CoinMarketCap API
Full disclosure: The google sheets add-in is a 14-day free trial, and $15 per month after. However, no one should be refused access on the basis of money (especially true for students and less fortunate). Send me a message, and I will make sure you are not left in the dark.

A NOTE ON SECURITY

Users have expressed hesitation about running a google sheets add-in on their main computer, so I will attempt to ease those concerns:

WHAT IT PULLS:

GETTING THE SPREADSHEET TO WORK FOR YOU

Install the Spreadstreet add-in for Google Sheets
Get sheet ready for use with the add-in
After logging into the add-in, change the dropdown reference

TROUBLESHOOTING

  1. Important Open the template, click the menu Add-ons / Spreadstreet / Help / View in store, and then click Manage and in the dropdown menu click “Use in this document.”
  2. A reload of the entire worksheet fixes quite a few problems.
  3. Deleting and re-pasting the formula in A1 of the “Candles” tab fixes things as well.
  4. If all else fails, drop me a message
  5. The “SELECT CURRENCY” cell in the Analysis tab (B3) refreshes the pull. Change the results for new data.
When I try and change a coin, I get a #DIV/0 error
Login to the Spreadstreet add-in, and keep the window open. Try changing the dropdown again.
I have tried logging in, activating the template with “Use in this document” and refreshed the sheet…still nothing.
Head to the “Data” tab. Delete the formula in cell A1, and repaste the following: =SS(“candles-bitfinex”, ticker, “1D”, “hist”, true, “”, “”, “”, “0”)

CONCLUSION

Whether you are investing in Bitcoin, Ethereum, or SpankCoin, it is imperative to have a plan. Most notably, a worst-case scenario.
The Monte Carlo simulation is a fantastic way to get a range of prices for a cryptocurrency. And after reading this, you can see how the final values change drastically depending on what you are looking at.
I urge you to download the sheet and try your own hand at simulating different coins. The sheet is setup to pull in every single coin from CoinMarketCap.
Cheers, and happy hunting
Original article can be found here: https://medium.com/@spreadstreet/10-statistical-price-predictions-for-10-cryptocurrencies-january-2018-3dcf04bf9d9a

RELATED POSTS

Financial Modeling for Cryptocurrencies: The spreadsheet that got me my first 1,000% gain
A Super Simple Cryptocurrency Arbitrage Spreadsheet for Finding Mismatched Prices
Bitcoin Madness: How to Simulate Bitcoin Prices in Google Sheets
7 Smart Ethereum Price Prediction Methods for HODL’ers
submitted by 1kexperimentdotcom to CryptoMarkets [link] [comments]

(11/20) - Tuesday's Pre-Market Stock Movers & News [Best viewed in Reddit Redesign]

Good morning traders of the StockMarket sub! Welcome to Tuesday! Here are your pre-market stock movers & news this AM-
(CLICK HERE TO VIEW THE FULL SOURCE!)
Frontrunning: November 20th

https://preview.redd.it/ga7d9bpdohz11.png?width=652&format=png&auto=webp&s=8147183dc12ec4667aa00543b3f9878952807eab
STOCK FUTURES NOW:
(CLICK HERE FOR STOCK FUTURES CHARTS!)
https://preview.redd.it/tctt32meohz11.png?width=1269&format=png&auto=webp&s=5344301897148b95a5ad636e3814fa4897f9a2d3
YESTERDAY'S MARKET HEAT MAP:
(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S MARKET HEAT MAP!)
https://preview.redd.it/jtqgy5ffohz11.png?width=1228&format=png&auto=webp&s=58338fa7e74fb5ecef74f2774d74a93e44eaa280
TODAY'S MARKET HEAT MAP:
(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S MARKET HEAT MAP!)
YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS:
(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)
https://preview.redd.it/6h16064hohz11.png?width=850&format=png&auto=webp&s=51912054f57fcb8b866e3675194254a7d223224f
TODAY'S S&P SECTORS:
(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)
TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:
(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)
https://preview.redd.it/p2an0fhjohz11.png?width=653&format=png&auto=webp&s=7a3e1c3ea85db87addb87d5854e05f8976bf16fa
THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:
(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)
https://preview.redd.it/0pgeys8kohz11.png?width=1600&format=png&auto=webp&s=db709b45462e4b11d4c424049a93713e0601c389
THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S:
(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S!)
https://preview.redd.it/j7gwtz0lohz11.png?width=586&format=png&auto=webp&s=062f6f82ce0697d1b2ac98d23c4336a19a311159
THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:
(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)
https://preview.redd.it/izttm9qlohz11.png?width=950&format=png&auto=webp&s=5fb1551b324bfba63ff740fc556f890c1b702e19
THIS MORNING'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:
(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)
https://preview.redd.it/adsbziimohz11.jpg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=bd3a0b67a88cf036c446ca7a12543f9719475071
THIS AFTERNOON'S POST-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:
(CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!) N/A.
EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE THE OPEN TODAY:
(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)
https://preview.redd.it/6r3guznnohz11.png?width=922&format=png&auto=webp&s=d084c2863ef85b7e285a504002a7a4eb11aa0d28
EARNINGS RELEASES AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:
(CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)
https://preview.redd.it/py5519soohz11.png?width=925&format=png&auto=webp&s=77d6cfa1a9701833f411499547d4dbe782b11d7b
THIS MORNING'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES:
(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES!)
https://preview.redd.it/fs6azgmpohz11.png?width=953&format=png&auto=webp&s=8c200fa5608bc8058af16fa3375dcd7466dc3eac
THIS MORNING'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS:
(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS!)
https://preview.redd.it/enfez3iqohz11.png?width=1090&format=png&auto=webp&s=873c9b544a163c938d4e4a8d7aab8d4cd719bc7f
TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR:
(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #2!)
https://preview.redd.it/b0gk2ztrohz11.png?width=652&format=png&auto=webp&s=d69fa47f35f30516cbb5b733679dbc866996eb28
https://preview.redd.it/65t7jqnsohz11.png?width=652&format=png&auto=webp&s=e5b9225b7815d102f5b9c340c8d4a531d81674be
THIS MORNING'S MOST ACTIVE TRENDING DISCUSSIONS (STOCK SYMBOLS ARE CLICKABLE!) :
THIS MORNING'S STOCK NEWS MOVERS:
(source: cnbc.com)
Target – The retailer earned an adjusted $1.09 per share for the third quarter, 3 cents a share below estimates. Revenue exceeded forecasts, however, and comparable-store sales were up 5.1 percent, just slightly below the Refinitiv estimate of a 5.2 percent increase.
STOCK SYMBOL: TGT
(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Best Buy – The electronics retailer beat estimates by 8 cents a share, with adjusted quarterly earnings of 93 cents per share. Revenue and comparable-store sales also beat Street forecasts, and Best Buy raised its full-year financial guidance.
STOCK SYMBOL: BBY
(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Kohl's – Kohl's earned an adjusted 98 cents per share for the third quarter, 2 cents a share above estimates. Revenue came in above analysts' projections. Comparable-store sales rose more than expected, and the retailer raised its full-year guidance.
STOCK SYMBOL: KSS
(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Lowe's – The home improvement retailer reported adjusted quarterly profit of $1.04 per share, beating estimates by 6 cents a share. Revenue topped forecasts. Comparable-store sales rose less than expected, however, and a full-year EPS forecast of $5.08-$5.13 was short of a consensus estimate of $5.15 a share.
STOCK SYMBOL: LOW
(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Medtronic – The medical device maker beat forecasts by 7 cents a share, with adjusted quarterly profit of $1.22 per share. Its revenue beat estimates and Medtronic raised its full-year organic revenue growth guidance.
STOCK SYMBOL: MDT
(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Campbell Soup – Campbell earned an adjusted 79 cents per share for its latest quarter, 9 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also exceeded forecasts. The company said it is seeing improved trends in soup sales and a return to growth for its V8 business.
STOCK SYMBOL: CPB
(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Hormel – The maker of Spam, Dinty Moore, and other food brands beat estimates by 2 cents a share, with adjusted quarterly profit of 51 cents per share. Revenue was very slightly below forecasts, however. Hormel also announced a 12 percent dividend increase.
STOCK SYMBOL: HRL
(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Intuit – Intuit reported adjusted quarterly earnings of 29 cents per share, beating the consensus estimate of 11 cents a share. The financial software company's revenue also came in above Street forecasts. The maker of TurboTax software also gave an upbeat forecast for the current quarter.
STOCK SYMBOL: INTU
(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Urban Outfitters – Urban Outfitters came in 8 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly profit of 70 cents per share. The apparel retailer also reported better-than-expected revenue and reported a better-than-expected 8 percent increase in comparable-store sales.
STOCK SYMBOL: URBN
(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
L Brands – L Brands beat forecasts by a penny a share, with adjusted quarterly profit of 16 cents per share. The Victoria's Secret parent saw revenue come in slightly above estimates. The company raised its full-year guidance, but also announced it was cutting its annual dividend in half to $1.20 per share. L Brands also appointed John Mehas, the president of women's apparel and accessories brand Tory Burch, as CEO of the Victoria's Secret unit effective in early 2019. Victoria's Secret sales have fallen in seven of the past eight quarters.
STOCK SYMBOL: LB
(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Boston Scientific – Boston Scientific offered to buy British drug maker BTG for about $4.24 billion in cash. The medical device maker's bid represents a premium of nearly 37 percent over BTG's Monday closing price, and the company said it would recommend the deal to its shareholders.
STOCK SYMBOL: BSX
(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Pure Storage – Pure Storage reported adjusted quarterly profit of 13 cents per share, 4 cents a share above estimates. The data storage company's revenue came in above estimates and Pure Storage raised the low end of its full-year earnings outlook range.
STOCK SYMBOL: PSTG
(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Agilent Technologies – Agilent reported adjusted quarterly profit of 81 cents per share, beating estimates by 7 cents a share. The life sciences company's revenue also topped Street forecasts and the company announced a $1.75 billion share buyback program.
STOCK SYMBOL: A
(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
FULL DISCLOSURE:
bigbear0083 has no positions in any stocks mentioned. Reddit, moderators, and the author do not advise making investment decisions based on discussion in these posts. Analysis is not subject to validation and users take action at their own risk. bigbear0083 is an admin at the financial forums Stockaholics.net where this content was originally posted.
DISCUSS!
What is on everyone's radar for today's trading day ahead here at StockMarket?
I hope you all have an excellent trading day ahead today on this Tuesday, November 20th, 2018! :)
submitted by bigbear0083 to StockMarket [link] [comments]

the strategy: know your asset [stocks/crypto]

the strategy: know your asset [stocks/crypto]
TL;TR: Every strategy is unique, here is only basic info of what you need to do before buy shares or cryptocurrencies. Well, I'm not good at fundamental analysis, looking for correlations and so on or maybe your good post for everyone at this sub.

Here, I want to share my experience with the people who like cryptocurrencies and the stock market. I have my strategy divided in 3 stages, and of course, the first one is the most long one.
  1. Learn more about asset that you want to buy.
  2. Competitors research
  3. Technical Analysis
1. Learn more about asset that you want to buy.
That, to my mind, is the fundamental challenge for everyone who wants to be successful trader. Every project has a white paper, you must read it before buy, it's the best way to understand the team's goals as the company's goals. I have read a lot of white papers and they are different from each other, when the project is really cool its wp is like a very good book for reading, very well written, w/o errors and is truly impressive while reading. Have a questions? Ask them at: official forum, reddit, twitter, telegram, stocktwits, may be at marketknows :).
If the deal is about a stock company, be sure that you understand its business model, you must know what does it produce and export or import and how is good their sales, in other words everything what you can find out about company(P/E ratios, growth, balance sheets, industry performance etc.). Here I can recommend you seekingalpha dot com, there you can find a lot of articles, but almost all of them are currently closed for free read, DM me, and I will show you the smart trick how to avoid it.
More data needs to be collected on the asset you research nonetheless have a duty to carefully select the information that should be used in your decision.
Rule 1 - Read the White Paper. You must do the full research.
2. Competitors research.
You can think that this additional workload will, unfortunately, eat your time and the price of a share/coin/token you want to buy will sky rocket without you, well it's not true. In most cases, it is better to spend a week or two to complete your research and to be certain that you are right than you will purchase illiquid asset. Anyway, you will get the data for analysis which would strengthen confidence in your decision and thus enhance the environment for investment.
3. Technical Analysis
This is my lovely part. First of all you need to analyze the market sentiment, if it's stock market you must check stocks in the same industry, are they experience a decline or follow the uptrend? As example take a "WeedStocks", the last summer - autumn, the whole industry was booming in connection with the forthcoming publication of new law, new partnerships, etc...
"What sparked the cannabis craze of 2018? Well, a number factors shed mainstream light on the long-dormant, niche industry. First, everyone started getting excited in 2018 about the nationwide legalization of cannabis in Canada in October. This was arguably the industry’s biggest catalyst ever, and as pot stocks started listing on U.S. exchanges, investors started bidding those stocks up.
But what really kicked this rally into overdrive was a massive $4 billion investment into Canopy Growth from alcoholic beverage giant Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ) in August. That was when marijuana stocks took off like a rocket ship. The logic was that big money was finally moving into the space, and thereby legitimizing the long-term potential of the recreational and medicinal cannabis markets.
Alongside this hype, there was a significant amount of volatility. Thus, just as 2018 was the year of the cannabis craze, it was also the year of marijuana stock volatility. After more than doubling between July and October, pot stocks have since broadly dropped into bear market territory, with Canopy, Tilray and Aurora all 35% or more off all-time highs." source: https://investorplace.com/2019/02/4-reasons-marijuana-stocks-pot-stable-2019/
If it's cryptocurrencies market, then you need to know that Bitcoin is the king here, and when its price is rising, almost every token and coin value is going down in Bitcoin equivalent and rising in dollar pair, however, much depends on the state of the digital asset you choose. Future events, news, different rumors etc.. such activities have a direct impact on the price. I understand that with single stack you are dreaming about 2x, 3x, 5x but that may never happen with your favorite currency, but it can happen with another cryptocurrency which you wanted to buy but you hadn't free money, and for that reason a long-term trader must have at least 5 to 10 assets that are easy to track everyday.
And practice.
My rules:
  1. Only uptrend.
  2. Open orders only at start or end of the tf.
  3. Use only 4h, 1d, 3d tf. 1w and 1m can be used to confirm the uptrend.
  4. Use support and resistance lines/levels.
  5. Use MACD and RSI.
  6. Buy, if everything OK.
  7. Set a stop-loss lower than support line.
Examples.
here 1. http://thepatternsite.com/channels.html
Here 2:
$BNB Binance
https://preview.redd.it/c8momco8kk131.png?width=1808&format=png&auto=webp&s=d13e2e034136a3de6ed54d741259cf8ff3049cb3
$PYPL Paypal
https://preview.redd.it/0l9grb4bkk131.png?width=1813&format=png&auto=webp&s=d6a34c8961876ede118c9e01b6f4585b290de518
$DIS Disney
https://preview.redd.it/aly5qntckk131.png?width=1810&format=png&auto=webp&s=e972e11fd7098e0863a50accff2ea0d9efc7eaae
$TGODF
https://preview.redd.it/83h3skcekk131.png?width=1810&format=png&auto=webp&s=bfe76ab8282ae17b1453b39b95e93780b0da6d9b
Thanks for reading and good luck.
submitted by Fanfan_la_Tulip to marketknows [link] [comments]

10 Statistical Price Predictions for 10 Cryptocurrencies — January 2018

TL;DR: I simulated a 1-year movement of 10 top cryptocurrencies using an advanced statistical method called geometric Brownian motion, which you can find below. I also created a spreadsheet to simulate prices of ~24 different cryptocurrencies, which you can download here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eUIgBowJs2NyKw7kYbx5z_VeCOxsMQdNELfbngs4XnY/copy. The sheet utilizes a paid add-in, which I provide free of cost to those who are less fortunate.

THE MYSTERY OF PRICE MOVEMENT

So, you’re sitting at your computer with money to invest.
You have made some good money already in the market, but you want more.
Cryptocurrencies have reached a record $600 billion in market value after the recovery, with the inevitable $700 billion mark right around the corner.
The price movement of top currencies remains a mystery. But it doesn’t have to be.

THE PAIN OF UNCERTAINTY

Cryptocurrencies are volatile, irrational beasts.
Simple methods of forecasting grossly oveunderestimate the potential of a volatile currency.
For example, moving averages are used frequently to estimate future prices. Moving averages, however, suffer from many pitfalls that make them poor estimators of volatile markets.
Every great and successful investor has a plan. You will add one more tool to your arsenal today.

A BETTER METHOD FOR ESTIMATING CRYPTO PRICES

In my prior article about estimating the movement of Bitcoin Prices, I spoke of a method that is used frequently in the stock world to estimate prices.
This method is a Monte Carlo simulation using the geometric Brownian motion model.
I won’t cover off on the full methodology here, but essentially I am going to:
  1. Get historical daily prices for 10 top cryptocurrencies
  2. Calculate daily returns
  3. Simulate a year
  4. Simulate a year many times
By the end of the article, you will have the following:
A note on forecasting, simulations, and recommendations: Monte Carlo simulations are to be used as guidelines and tools, not as gospel. I am not offering financial or investing advice.

BITCOIN

What is Bitcoin?

You know what Bitcoin is, stop it.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of Bitcoin Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year Bitcoin Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that Bitcoin prices will fall between $9,095, and $371,588 with a median of $60,837.

BITCOIN CASH

What is Bitcoin Cash?

From the Bitcoin Cash project website:
“Bitcoin Cash is peer-to-peer electronic cash for the Internet. It is fully decentralized, with no central bank and requires no trusted third parties to operate.”
Really, it was an additional currency that was created after a fork from Bitcoin core.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of Bitcoin Cash Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year Bitcoin Cash Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that Bitcoin Cash prices will fall between $197, and $180,288 with a median of $4,839.

ETHEREUM

What is Ethereum?

Ethereum is a decentralized platform that runs smart contracts: applications that run exactly as programmed without any possibility of downtime, censorship, fraud or third party interference.
Ethereum has been busy recently. Multiple steps have been pushed in motion for the upcoming large change — reaching a new consensus method.
From Jordan Daniel at ethnews.com:
Ethereum’s Byzantium hard fork was only one half of a two-part process designed to transition the decentralized application platform to a new method for reaching consensus — proof-of-stake. The next hard fork, called Constantinople, was recently discussed during an Ethereum core developer meeting and could include Vitalik Buterin’s Casper update.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of Ethereum Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year Ethereum Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that Ethereum prices will fall between $193, and $8,027 with a median of $1,267.

EOS

What is EOS?

EOS is a blockchain-based, decentralized operating system, designed to support commercial-scale decentralized applications by providing all of the necessary core functionality, enabling businesses to build blockchain applications in a way similar to web-based applications.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of EOS Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year EOS Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that EOS prices will fall between $0.98, and $1,386 with a median of $33.

LITECOIN

What is Litecoin?

Litecoin’s claim to fame is faster transaction processing times. It uses a scrypt-based mining proof-of-work algorithm to target the regular computers and GPUs most people already have.
The ability to target regular computers and GPU’s happens to be a huge differentiator from the crowded mining population of Bitcoin.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of Litecoin Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year Litecoin Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that Litecoin prices will fall between $42, and $12,241 with a median of $745.

OMISEGO

What is OmiseGO?

OmiseGO is building a couple of things:
  1. Decentralized exchange
  2. Liquidity provider mechanism
  3. Clearinghouse messaging network
  4. Asset-backed blockchain gateway
OmiseGO is not owned by any single one party. Instead, it is an open distributed network of validators which enforce behavior of all participants.
According to Blocknight:
Also, OmiseGo counts Vitalik Buterin (Ethereum), and Joseph Poon (Lightning Network Co Author) among their advisers. Joseph Poon is actually billed as author of the OmiseGo whitepaper.
Those are some pretty big names.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of OmiseGO Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year OmiseGO Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that OmiseGO prices will fall between $0.62, and $185.35 with a median of $8.56.

NEO

What is NEO?

NEO (formerly known as AntShares) is a smart asset platform and the first open source public blockchain project in China. Smart assets are the combination of smart blockchain contracts and digital assets.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of NEO Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year NEO Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that NEO prices will fall between $3, and $3,076 with a median of $115.

RIPPLE

What is Ripple?

Ripple is a system created for banks to enable immediate payments and lower costs.
The vision of the Ripple creators is to allow a bank transfer in a few seconds (instead of the horribly annoying 2–3 business days).
Of note, is that Ripple is a U.S. based company. From the xrphodor blog:
Ripple is a US-based company.
Why is this an important point to consider? A US-based company like Ripple is subject to some very stringent laws regarding securities trading and money transmission. These include requirements that define how Ripple might interact with crypto markets and both institutional and retail crypto traders.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of Ripple Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year Ripple Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that Ripple prices will fall between $0.05, and $163 with a median of $2.71.

MONERO

What is Monero?

Monero attempts to solve privacy and fungibility issues that persist in Bitcoin.
Part of the algorithm for Monero automatically mixes transactions with previous transactions and does this by implementing ring signatures.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of Monero Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year Monero Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that Monero prices will fall between $68, and $8,142 with a median of $760.

Zcash

What is Zcash?

From the Blockchainhub infographic:
Zcash is a permissionless cryptocurrency that can fully protect the privacy of transactions using zero-knowledge cryptography.

One-Year Simulation

1-Year Simulation of ZCash Prices and Returns

One-Year Simulated 1,000 Times

1-Year ZCash Prices Simulated 1,000 times

Verdict

We can be 95% certain that Zcash prices will fall between $54, and $6,259 with a median of $549.

YOUR VERY OWN FORECASTING TOOL

Since i’m so nice, I went ahead and created a forecasting tool for you to use:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eUIgBowJs2NyKw7kYbx5z_VeCOxsMQdNELfbngs4XnY/copy

SERVICES USED:

  1. Google Sheets
  2. Spreadstreet Google Sheets Add-in
  3. StockTwits
  4. CoinMarketCap API
Full disclosure: The google sheets add-in is a 14-day free trial, and $15 per month after. However, no one should be refused access on the basis of money (especially true for students and less fortunate). Send me a message, and I will make sure you are not left in the dark.

A NOTE ON SECURITY

Users have expressed hesitation about running a google sheets add-in on their main computer, so I will attempt to ease those concerns:

WHAT IT PULLS:

GETTING THE SPREADSHEET TO WORK FOR YOU

Install the Spreadstreet add-in for Google Sheets
Get sheet ready for use with the add-in
After logging into the add-in, change the dropdown reference

TROUBLESHOOTING

  1. Important Open the template, click the menu Add-ons / Spreadstreet / Help / View in store, and then click Manage and in the dropdown menu click “Use in this document.”
  2. A reload of the entire worksheet fixes quite a few problems.
  3. Deleting and re-pasting the formula in A1 of the “Candles” tab fixes things as well.
  4. If all else fails, drop me a message
  5. The “SELECT CURRENCY” cell in the Analysis tab (B3) refreshes the pull. Change the results for new data.
When I try and change a coin, I get a #DIV/0 error
Login to the Spreadstreet add-in, and keep the window open. Try changing the dropdown again.
I have tried logging in, activating the template with “Use in this document” and refreshed the sheet…still nothing.
Head to the “Data” tab. Delete the formula in cell A1, and repaste the following: =SS(“candles-bitfinex”, ticker, “1D”, “hist”, true, “”, “”, “”, “0”)

CONCLUSION

Whether you are investing in Bitcoin, Ethereum, or SpankCoin, it is imperative to have a plan. Most notably, a worst-case scenario.
The Monte Carlo simulation is a fantastic way to get a range of prices for a cryptocurrency. And after reading this, you can see how the final values change drastically depending on what you are looking at.
I urge you to download the sheet and try your own hand at simulating different coins. The sheet is setup to pull in every single coin from CoinMarketCap.
Cheers, and happy hunting
Original article can be found here: https://medium.com/@spreadstreet/10-statistical-price-predictions-for-10-cryptocurrencies-january-2018-3dcf04bf9d9a

RELATED POSTS

Financial Modeling for Cryptocurrencies: The spreadsheet that got me my first 1,000% gain
A Super Simple Cryptocurrency Arbitrage Spreadsheet for Finding Mismatched Prices
Bitcoin Madness: How to Simulate Bitcoin Prices in Google Sheets
7 Smart Ethereum Price Prediction Methods for HODL’ers
submitted by 1kexperimentdotcom to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]

Financial Modeling for Cryptocurrencies: The spreadsheet that got me my first 1,000% gain

TL;DR: I created a spreadsheet that automates pulling trending cryptocurrencies, recent tweets, and bullish/bearish sentiment into Google Sheets. You can find it here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1QtxaDWCoXkIqjPVVkU8DNsx8GBaBd180COwn1CIasa8/copy
I know some crypto users prefer to work in spreadsheets (including myself) so I created a spreadsheet that looks at trending symbols and estimates bullish/bearish sentiment. I never had the time to develop software engineering skills, but the recent launch of a few add-ins has allowed regular joes like myself to harness the power of APIs.

The Beauty of Sentiment Trading

According to Google Trends, the word “sentiment analysis” has been gaining steady traction over the past 5 years.
Sentiment refers to the attitude expressed by an individual regarding a certain topic. This is especially relevant in trading, where so much of the change in price is dictated by emotions:
When it is applied to trading, sentiment can be used (with great potential windfall) as a directional signal to figure out whether you should enter a crypto position within your portfolio.
A way you can utilize sentiment when trading crypto, is to measure the positivity or negativity of a tweet. If recent tweets have been overwhelmingly bullish (aka, the person expects the crypto rise) and movement is beginning to happen in the currency, chances are good that the trend will continue.
Luckily for you, StockTwits already does this with around 225 different cryptocurrencies. And if you can combine the sentiment with trending cryptocurrencies, you can catch the wave right as it forms.

Services Used:

  1. Google Sheets
  2. Spreadstreet Google Sheets Add-in
  3. StockTwits
  4. CoinMarketCap API
Full disclosure: The google sheets add-in is a 14-day free trial, and $15 per month after. However, no one should be refused access on the basis of money (especially true for students and less fortunate). Send me a message, and I will make sure you are not left in the dark.

A note on security

Users have expressed hesitation about running a google sheets add-in on their main computer, so I will attempt to ease those concerns:

What it pulls:

AN OVERVIEW OF THE SECTIONS

The Dashboard
Changing the timeframe
Changing the cryptocurrency
Instructions Tab
Summary Tab

How to use the spreadsheet to spot trending cryptocurrencies

You will spend most of your time in the “Analysis” tab, where the trending cryptocurrencies reside.
I am almost always looking at the “By Hour” timeframe, as the “By Day” and “By Week” is usually a missed opportunity…however, those time frames can still be very useful (albeit, for different reasons).
You want to ride the wave on a cryptocurrency under one or both of the following conditions:
  1. The tweets are very recent, preferably within the last hour
  2. Overwhelmingly Bullish sentiment
A Great Example
A Bad Example

Getting the spreadsheet to work for you

1. Install the Spreadstreet add-in for Google Sheets
2. Get sheet ready for use with the add-in
3. After logging into the add-in, refresh the sheet

Troubleshooting

  1. Important Open the template, click the menu Add-ons / Spreadstreet / Help / View in store, and then click Manage and in the dropdown menu click “Use in this document.”
  2. A reload of the entire worksheet fixes quite a few problems.
  3. Deleting and re-pasting the formula in A1 of the “Data” tab fixes things as well.
  4. If all else fails, drop a line to [email protected]. He will get you running in no time.
  5. The “TIMEFRAME” cell in the Analysis tab (B3) refreshes the pull. Change the results for new data.
Some trending coins are not pulling correctly…what’s going on?
StockTwits has a list of ~225 coins it currently supports. See the “TweetInfo” tab for the full list.
I have tried logging in, activating the template with “Use in this document” and refreshed the sheet…still nothing.
Head to the “Data” tab. Delete the formula in cell A1, and repaste the following: =SS(“tickers-coinmarketcap”, headers, “0”, Currency)
Hoping this is something that is useful to everyone, and I am more than happy to help peeps setup the sheet so they can use it. Just send me a message on here.
Original Medium article can be found here: https://medium.com/@spreadstreet/financial-modeling-for-cryptocurrencies-the-spreadsheet-that-got-me-my-first-1-000-gain-f4d0d1a6e5ed

RESOURCES

Download the spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1QtxaDWCoXkIqjPVVkU8DNsx8GBaBd180COwn1CIasa8/copy
Download the add-in: https://spreadstreet.io/tools/google-sheets-add-in
Help: https://spreadstreet.io/docs
First time install and login: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLjtPR4T2bg
Bitfinex Candles endpoint help: https://spreadstreet.io/knowledge-base/bitfinex-api-candles-endpoint/

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR

John Young is the founder of Spreadstreet.io, former Financial Analyst for a big-ass company, and runner-up in the 6th grade spelling bee. He would have invested in Google if he knew about it...and had any money.
He is the author of the Spreadstreet blog, which has over 3 readers (not a typo). He hopes to hit 10, but honestly writing is a lot of work.
submitted by 1kexperimentdotcom to ethtrader [link] [comments]

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